Module 1. Introduction to Stock Markets
1. The Need to Invest
1.1 – Why should I invest?
Before we address the above question, let us understand what would happen if one chooses not to invest. Assume you earn Rs.50,000/- per month, and you spend Rs.30,000/- towards your day-to-day living; this can include expenses like housing, food, transport, shopping, medical, etc. The balance of Rs.20,000/- is your monthly surplus.
For the sake of simplicity, let us ignore the tax effect in this discussion.
To drive the point across, let us make a few simple assumptions –
- The employer is kind enough to give you a 10% salary hike every year.
- The cost of living is likely to go up by 8% yearly.
- You are 30 years old and plan to retire at 50, this translates to 20 working years.
- You don’t intend to work after you retire.
- Your expenses are fixed, and you don’t foresee any other expenses.
- The balance cash of Rs.20,000/- per month is retained as hard cash.
Going by these assumptions, here is what the cash balance will look like in 20 years.
Years | Yearly Income | Yearly Expense | Cash Retained |
---|---|---|---|
1 | 600,000 | 360,000 | 240,000 |
2 | 660,000 | 388,800 | 271,200 |
3 | 726,000 | 419,904 | 306,096 |
4 | 798,600 | 453,496 | 345,104 |
5 | 878,460 | 489,776 | 388,684 |
6 | 966,306 | 528,958 | 437,348 |
7 | 1,062,937 | 571,275 | 491,662 |
8 | 1,169,230 | 616,977 | 552,254 |
9 | 1,286,153 | 666,335 | 619,818 |
10 | 1,414,769 | 719,642 | 695,127 |
11 | 1,556,245 | 777,213 | 779,032 |
12 | 1,711,870 | 839,390 | 872,480 |
13 | 1,883,057 | 906,541 | 976,516 |
14 | 2,071,363 | 979,065 | 1,092,298 |
15 | 2,278,499 | 1,057,390 | 1,221,109 |
16 | 2,506,349 | 1,141,981 | 1,364,368 |
17 | 2,756,984 | 1,233,339 | 1,523,644 |
18 | 3,032,682 | 1,332,006 | 1,700,676 |
19 | 3,335,950 | 1,438,567 | 1,897,383 |
20 | 3,669,545 | 1,553,652 | 2,115,893 |
Total Income | 17,890,693 |
If one were to analyze these numbers, a few things become obvious –
- After 20 years of hard work, you have accumulated Rs.1.7Crs.
- Since your expenses are fixed, your lifestyle has not changed over the years.
- After retirement, assuming 8% inflation, the corpus will last only ~8 years post-retirement.
Now let’s consider the same scenario with investments yielding 12% annually. The result will be significantly different.
Years | Yearly Income | Yearly Expense | Cash Retained | Retained Cash Invested @12% |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 600,000 | 360,000 | 240,000 | 2,067,063 |
2 | 660,000 | 388,800 | 271,200 | 2,085,519 |
3 | 726,000 | 419,904 | 306,096 | 2,101,668 |
20 | 3,669,545 | 1,553,652 | 2,115,893 | 2,115,893 |
Total cash after 20 years | 4,26,95,771 |
Clearly, investing generates 2.4x more wealth over the same period.
So why invest?
- Fight Inflation – Cope with rising cost of living
- Create Wealth – Build a retirement corpus or save for goals
- Better Life – Fulfill financial aspirations
1.2 – Where to invest?
Once convinced about investing, the next step is selecting an appropriate asset class based on your risk appetite:
- Fixed Income Instruments
- Equity
- Real Estate
- Commodities (precious metals)
Fixed Income Instruments
These include FDs, bonds, and government securities. Low risk, but moderate returns (5%–9%).
Equity
Buying company stocks. Higher risk, but historically 12%–15% CAGR over long periods.
Real Estate
Buying land or buildings. Returns vary, rental yields are 2–3%. Complex process and high capital requirement.
Commodity – Bullion
Gold & silver. Long-term CAGR of 5–8%. Can invest via jewelry, ETFs, or Sovereign Gold Bonds (SGBs).
Example Corpus after 20 years (with investment):
- Fixed income @ 9% – Rs.3.3 Cr
- Equity @ 15% – Rs.5.4 Cr
- Bullion @ 8% – Rs.3.09 Cr
Note: Cryptocurrencies aren’t included due to lack of regulation and investor protection.
Tip: Diversify! Use an asset allocation strategy suited to your age, goals, and risk tolerance. More on this in later modules.